Friday, April 11, 2014

Across the Pond - Your Weekly European Soccer Update (April 5th-11th)



                 There’s nothing quite like European soccer in the month of April. League titles are on the line, the Champions League finalists are eventually known, and relegation battles capture the hearts of many fans who love seeing the underdo g pull through. The pressure these teams and players face is immense, even for a team like Bayern Munich who have already secured the Bundesliga (German league) title. So without further rambling, let’s analyze the most recent week starting with the league games over the weekend and moving to the breathtaking and heartbreaking moments of the Champions League.
                As usual, the Barclays Premier League provided plenty of drama and lots of goals. The key game on Saturday was actually Cardiff-Crystal Palace. Many casual fans have probably never heard of these teams, but both are fighting to survive and remain in the Premier League next season. These relegation battles (which I’ll highlight further in the spotlight section) are often very intense and it’s not unusual for a relegation threatened team to beat a team at the top of the table. Crystal Palace knocked off Chelsea the week before and picked up another 3 points beating Cardiff 3-0 on the road. The result almost condemns Cardiff to relegation while elevating Palace closer to safety. However, the more important games in the grand scheme were played out on Sunday. Everton thrashed Arsenal 3-0 to move within a point of the Gunners for 4th place and an entry into next year’s Champions League. Everton has not played in the Champions League since 2005, and Arsenal hasn’t missed out in 15 years! With a game in hand, Everton controls its own destiny. Arsenal, on the other hand, needs help to keep the 4th spot and will need to quickly improve their play. The Gunners are in free-fall. They seemed the favorites to win the title just a few weeks ago, but a run of poor results and key injuries reversed the clubs fortunes. In other games, Liverpool survived a tough match beating West Ham 2-1. The Reds now have all sights set on this weekend’s matchup against Manchester City, who are four points back but do have two games in hand. It’s a mouthwatering tie that may determine who wins the league. My prediction: I think Manchester City are deeper than Liverpool, but the Reds have silenced critics all year long. We’re going to see goals in this game but I don’t think the title is settled: 2-2 draw. 

Roberto Martinez (left) has Everton fans dreaming of a Champions League spot. On-loan striker Romelu Lukaku is a big reason why.
             There was relatively little in change this week in Italy and Spain, but the Bundesliga featured a few important games. Bayern Munich’s 53 match unbeaten streak ended at the hands of FC Augsburg. Having won the title a week before, Bayern rested many of its regular starters and despite dominating most of the game, lost for the first time in the league since October of 2012. It was still an incredible streak for the Bavarians, and no one can fault coach Pep Guardiola for giving his younger guys some very important playing time. Borussia Dortmund all but secured a berth in next year’s Champions League with a key victory over Wolfsburg, who are trying to make it into the top 4. Marco Reus, who I’ll mention later, scored late in the game and Dortmund moved 7 points clear of 4th place Monchengladbach with only 5 games left. Wolfsburg missed the chance to go 4th and sit in 6th one point behind Monchengladbach and Bayer Leverkusen. Wolfsburg and Leverkusen play on the last week of the season, in a game that could be worth millions of dollars for a Champions League spot.
                Spotlight: Promotion and Relegation
                One of the most exciting things about European Soccer is the promotion and relegation system. It’s standard procedure for every European league, but I’ll focus specifically on the Barclays Premier League. The concept is simple: the bottom three teams from the Premier League are relegated to the second tier, known as the Championship. While the top two teams from the Championship as well as the team that wins the promotion playoffs, are promoted to England’s top flight. In the promotion playoffs, teams 3-6 play for the final promotion spot. The third team plays the sixth while the fourth plays the fifth in a home and home (two games). The winners face off at Wembley Stadium for the right to play in the Premier League. That game is known as “The Richest Game in the World” because of the money involved with moving to the Premier League. It’s hard to say exactly how much, but estimates from last year’s game say around 150 million pounds goes to the winner in the form of TV contracts, bonuses and other payments. The promotion playoffs also produce some of the most entertaining matches I’ve ever seen! Take last year’s Watford-Leicester City game. Tied 2-2 on aggregate, Leicester City was awarded a penalty kick in stoppage time of the second half. The PK was saved and Watford ran down to the other end and miraculously scored sending fans onto the pitch. It can go from excitement to heartbreak in a matter of seconds. A year later, it’s Leicester who get the last laugh as they’ve already secured promotion to next year’s Premier League while Watford ended up losing last year to Crystal Palace in the promotion playoff final and are not in position to make the playoffs this year. Relegation battles have similar emotion attached to them. Known as “Survival Saturday and Sunday” fans of relegation threatened teams spend the last weekend religiously scoreboard watching. Take for example two years ago when Queens Park Rangers had to go to Manchester City on the final day and likely needed at least one point to secure promotion. City needed a win to get the title. QPR, down to ten men for most of the match, surprisingly led 2-1 until the last two minutes when City scored twice to secure the title. But QPR fans celebrated with them a few minutes later when they found out, due to other results, they would be playing another season in the Premier League. 


 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7AeHvFNMaBI

 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4-4UG1S6rQI

                Last but not least, the Champions League produced a stunning turnaround and a few surprises. Chelsea successfully overturned a 3-1 deficit, winning 2-0 and advancing on away goals rule. Demba Ba’s 87th minute tally sent the home crowd into a raucous as PSG were denied the semi-finals for the second straight year. It’s a disappointing end for a team that spent over a hundred million dollars on new players before the season started. Borussia  Dortmund were on the same path as Chelsea, but their epic comeback attempt fell just short, as they beat Real Madrid 2-0 but lost 3-2 on aggregate. Marco Reus was especially impressive, scoring two goals in the first half and brilliantly setting up Henrikh Mkhytarian who could not score into an open goal. Dortmund were left ruing after missing plenty of chances to even the score line. In the end, coach Juergen Klopp was very proud of his team, as he should be, but was disappointed that his team missed so many chances. Wednesday’s games saw Bayern beat Manchester United and Atletico Madrid triumph over Barcelona. Bayern had the advantage from last week but United took a shock lead in the 57th minute through Patrice Evra. However, Bayern responded with 3 goals to put away the tie. It was a fair result given Bayern attacked almost the entire game and had almost 80% possession. Atletico upset Barcelona 1-0 to win the tie on aggregate 2-1. Koke’s 5th minute goal was enough, but Atletico should’ve scored at least 3 more goals in the first 20 minutes alone. They were almost punished for their poor finishing but Barcelona could not find a way through as Lionel Messi was completely shut down. The draw for the semi-finals was held earlier today with the first legs being on April 22-23rd and the return legs on April 29-30th.
Real Madrid vs. Bayern Munich
Atletico Madrid vs. Chelsea

My prediction: These are great matchups, especially the Bayern-Real game which many fans wanted to see as the final. Given that Pep Guardiola had major success against Real in his Barcelona days, I give the slight edge to Bayern. The other tie is legitimately a toss-up between two teams that are probably overachieving a little. Both pulled off upsets in the quarterfinals but I give a VERY slight edge to Chelsea because of experience. Atletico may also be without Diego Costa, their leading scorer and best player. So, I think we see a rematch of the final two years ago: Chelsea vs. Bayern. 


Koke (left) celebrates with teammate David Villa after scoring the deciding goal in Atletico Madrid's Champions League tie



Borussia Dortmund have only themselves to blame for not completing an epic comeback

Demba Ba's late goal secured Chelsea's  spot in the Champions League Semi-finals


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